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California Policy and Politics Tuesday

California officials brace for unprecedented election interference by Trump administration -- “California is dead serious about the security of [Tuesday’s] midterm elections. If Trump tries to meddle with California’s ballots, you can be sure as hell that we’ll prosecute those who help him,” Gov. Gavin Newsom said Monday. “Californians deserve a free and fair election, and that is exactly what we’ll deliver.” Kevin Rector and Brittny Mejia in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/3/26

Majority of California voters fear federal government may try to stop vote count, poll finds -- A new poll finds 63% of California voters worry the Trump administration may try to halt vote counting after election day. Election fears are sharply divided by party: 85% of Democrats believe the count could be stopped, compared with 22% of Republicans. Clara Harter in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/3/26

Supreme Court declines to hear Trump’s California 20,000 ballot case -- The U.S. Supreme Court declined to issue an emergency ruling in the Trump Administration’s case to sequester 20,000 ballots. Here’s what to know about the ongoing, unprecedented legal attack on California’s elections. Ryan Sabalow and Sergio Olmos Calmatters Lindsay Whitehurst, Nicholas Riccardi Associated Press Josh Gerstein and Kyle Cheney Politico Abbie VanSickle in the New York Times$ Justin Jouvenal and Patrick Marley in the Washington Post$ -- 11/3/26

This is what it’s like to run California elections under Trump -- Election officials in three California counties describe trying to put on the midterms under threat from the federal government’s law enforcement agencies. Raheem Hosseini in the San Francisco Chronicle$ -- 11/3/26

We went to court to check on California illegal voting cases. Here’s what we learned -- Experts say the federal government must prove that noncitizens intentionally violated election law. Regardless, defendants may face dire immigration consequences. Marek Warszawski of KVPR; Eli Chavez of KCRW of Tyche Hendricks, KQED and Noah Abrams, KRCB Calmatters -- 11/3/26

Sacramento woman ‘mortified’ by voting charge as feds arrest dozens ahead of election -- Meryll Quirong Costi was mortified, her lawyer said, as she sat in federal court with her legs shackled together, wearing orange pants and a white T-shirt emblazoned with the word “Prisoner” across the back. Sharon Bernstein in the Sacramento Bee$ -- 11/3/26

 

Democrats dominate California but face challenges after election -- As polls show nearly 6 out of 10 Californians believe the state is going in the wrong direction and even more anticipate bad financial times ahead, the state’s new governor and legislators will have to confront some chronic problems, including a severe budget deficit, housing unaffordability, homelessness, and rising energy and insurance costs. Jenny Jarvie in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/3/26

What’s at stake for California in this expected ‘blue wave’ election -- Perhaps no state has more on the line than California, where a handful of congressional contests could help determine which party controls Congress and where state leaders like Gov. Gavin Newsom have spent the last two years aggressively fighting Trump’s agenda. Hannah Wiley, Joe Garofoli in the San Francisco Chronicle$ -- 11/3/26

Will Democrats control Congress? Their path runs through California. Watch these races -- These are the most consequential U.S. House races in California, which could determine control of Congress as well as the future direction of the Democratic Party. Maya C. Miller Calmatters -- 11/3/26

The S.F. donors keeping these midterms on track to be the most expensive in history -- With control of Congress on the line, a number of San Francisco area’s wealthiest families are writing checks to these PACs to support candidates across the country, where districts are more up for grabs than in deep-blue California. Their spending is part of a years-long trend of out-of-state money fueling campaigns in federal elections. Hanna Zakharenko, Christian Leonard in the San Francisco Chronicle$ -- 11/3/26

 

Californians vote on nation’s first wealth tax on billionaires -- Some of the state’s wealthiest residents have spent hundreds of millions to defeat Prop. 40, the “billionaire tax.” Supporters say billionaires should pay their “fair share” and help fund social services. Kristen Hwang Calmatters -- 11/3/26

What the voter records of California’s billionaires reveal -- According to Politico's analysis, registered Democrats outnumbered Republicans among the billionaires we identified to the California voter file, despite the number of industrial titans who have visited the White House and extended olive branches to President Donald Trump. Will McCarthy, Jessie Blaeser and Jeremy B. White Politico -- 11/3/26

 

L.A.’s next mayor faces high expectations, little room for error -- Homeless encampments line the streets. Buying a home — or even finding an affordable place to rent — is increasingly out of reach. Roads are riddled with potholes, tens of thousands of streetlights are out, and water and power bills are surging. For many Angelenos, morale is poor and quality of life in the city is slipping. Jenny Jarvie in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/3/26

 

California chooses next insurance commissioner: Jane Kim or Ben Allen -- Two Democrats are competing for the position for the first time. Jane Kim, the former San Francisco supervisor, wants to create a public disaster insurance program. State Sen. Ben Allen says a comprehensive wildfire-mitigation plan is the way to fix what ails insurance in California: availability, especially in areas of high fire risk; and affordability, as insurers raise premiums, citing increasing disaster risk and rising replacement costs. Levi Sumagaysay Calmatters -- 11/3/26

California voters could reshape the state’s landmark environmental law with Prop. 45 -- Backed by business groups and opposed by environmentalists, Prop. 45 would put deadlines on environmental reviews and lawsuits for housing, water, broadband and transit projects. Alejandra Reyes-Velarde Calmatters -- 11/3/26

California decides on housing bonds with Prop. 1 and Prop. 37 -- The two borrowing measures — Propositions 1 and 37 — tackle the state’s affordable housing crisis in very different ways and by targeting very different constituencies. Ben Christopher Calmatters -- 11/3/26

California’s legislative races put tech-backed Democrats and Republican gains to the test -- California voters are deciding whether Republicans will hold onto seats they flipped in 2024 and whether business-backed groups can help elect more moderate Democrats. Kate Wolffe Calmatters -- 11/3/26

Wildfire

Utilities lobby for shield from wildfire costs -- California’s largest investor-owned utilities are seeking a permanent cap on shareholder liability for catastrophic wildfires, as a criminal investigation into Southern California Edison’s role in the deadly Eaton fire continues. Melody Petersen in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/3/26

ICE

Congressman, senator are turned away from Central Valley ICE facility -- Senator Alex Padilla and Congressman Jim Costa visited McFarland for a drop-in visit to the Golden State Annex, an Immigrations and Customs Enforcement detainment facility, but they never made it inside. Nick Fenley in the Fresno Bee -- 11/3/26

Workplace

Newsom proposes $1-billion cap for film and TV tax incentive -- Gov. Gavin Newsom on Monday called for a significant expansion of the state’s film and TV tax incentives in the face of mounting evidence that producers are fleeing California in search of cheaper locales. Cerys Davies and Stacy Perman in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/3/26

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Trump Says U.S. Plans to Cut Off Military Aid to Israel by End of Year -- U.S. and Israel have discussed phasing out grants, but president’s comments suggest it could occur much faster than expected. Marianne LeVine, Lara Seligman and Vera Bergengruen in the Wall Street Journal$ David E. Sanger in the New York Times$ -- 11/3/26

Trump’s closing message to American voters highlights repairs to Reflecting Pool -- After spending a month asking voters to treat the midterms as a vote on him, President Trump closed his monthlong campaign sprint on Monday sounding like a man bracing for defeat. “For some reason, the sitting president doesn’t win the midterms,” Trump said. “But we gave this a very strong shot.” Ana Ceballos in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/3/26

Trump’s aura of invincibility faces one more test -- Trump suggests he is expecting a wave, telling the New York Post he will ‘become Mr. Veto’ if Democrats sweep control. Democratic congressional leaders may face internal party calls to pursue a third impeachment of the president. Michael Wilner in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/3/26

 

California Policy and Politics Monday

Supreme Court rejects Trump request to segregate California ballots before midterm election -- The Supreme Court on Monday quickly shut down President Donald Trump’s effort to force California to sideline potentially thousands of ballots that the Justice Department claims may have been cast by noncitizens, rejecting the administration’s emergency request hours after it was filed. John Fritze CNN Justin Jouvenal and Patrick Marley in the Washington Post$ -- 11/2/26

Trump asks Supreme Court to segregate California ballots before midterm election -- It comes as new polls show that Democrats are within striking distance of taking control of the Senate. John Fritze and Tierney Sneed CNN David G. Savage and Kevin Rector in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/2/26

Beware the ‘red mirage’ if California Republicans have an election night lead -- It happens in close races in almost every major election. Early California returns show Republicans winning or at least faring better than expected. Then, as votes are counted over the following days, the tallies shift in Democrats’ favor. This “blue shift” or “red mirage” isn’t a result of California Democrats “finding votes” or rigging elections, as President Donald Trump and his supporters have repeatedly claimed. Ryan Sabalow Calmatters -- 11/2/26

Counties’ Election Day rules may block news coverage of voting, civil rights groups warn -- Some of California’s most populous counties are issuing guidelines restricting the press from documenting Election Day proceedings at polling places in ways that appear to violate state statutes and the First Amendment. Lynn La Calmatters -- 11/2/26

Mayoral candidates Bass and Raman crisscross L.A. on final weekend before the election -- The former allies, and now competitors, took veiled shots at each other as they each hit multiple campaign stops Sunday morning, with both attending church services and other events. Noah Goldberg in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/2/26

A daughter of L.A. and a transplant to the city. The different paths taken by Bass and Raman -- Karen Bass is a South L.A. native shaped by the civil rights movement and decades of public service. Nithya Raman, who studied urban planning, once worked to improve conditions in the slums of Delhi. Noah Goldberg in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/2/26

The accidental politician who could run Los Angeles -- Nithya Raman didn’t plan on a political career. But an unsolicited direct message, an “Evil Elmo,” and a stubborn homelessness crisis has put her at City Hall’s door. Will McCarthy Politico -- 11/2/26

Progressives are on the rise nationally. Will the midterms help them regain ground in S.F.? -- The progressive side of the Democratic Party has been ascendant nationally, showing signs of strength in races from New York to the Central Valley. But that momentum has yet to show up in famously liberal San Francisco. Joe Garofoli, J.D. Morris in the San Francisco Chronicle$ -- 11/2/26

Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, weighing 2028 runs, rally together in California -- Former vice president Kamala Harris and California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) returned to the campaign trail together in their home state Sunday, marking their first joint appearance in nearly a year. Praveena Somasundaram in the Washington Post$ -- 11/2/26

Skelton: A boring governor is fine. A do-nothing governor is not -- Xavier Becerra hasn’t even been elected yet — officially, anyway — and I am already bored. George Skelton in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/2/26

Workplace

Newsom proposes $1 billion cap for film and TV tax incentive -- Gov. Gavin Newsom wants to expand California’s current Film and Television Tax Credit Program from $750 million to at least $1 billion annually. Cerys Davies in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/2/26

Employers Near Deal to Delay Strike Threat at Los Angeles-Long Beach Ports -- The Pacific Maritime Association says an agreement with unionized dockworkers would extend a labor contract, giving more time to negotiate. Paul Berger in the Wall Street Journal$ -- 11/2/26

Climate

What the El Niño worst-case scenario would look like in California -- Last week’s flooding was so bad because of two events that are expected to worsen over the next few months: a record-hot ocean raising sea levels combined with higher-than-normal tides. A third factor would be powerful storms that bring big waves. Rong-Gong Lin II and Sean Greene in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/2/26

Wildfire

Three questions California lawmakers are weighing on who should pay for wildfires -- Utilities want to limit their liability, insurers want to chase payouts and wildfire victims want to be made whole. But communities don’t want their utility bills to skyrocket. Aaron Leathley KVIE Abridged -- 11/02/26

Health Care

S.F. hospitals are rethinking emergency care for older adults -- San Francisco hospitals are adapting emergency care for older adults, with specialized screening, social work and even music. Catherine Ho in the San Francisco Chronicle$ -- 11/2/26

AI

Microsoft AI CEO warns industry against trying to build conscious machines -- The debate over whether to treat the idea that current AI systems are conscious as an open-ended question, or to dismiss the concept outright, continues to divide the industry. Nilesh Christopher in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/2/26

Education

Culture War Tensions Roil Beverly Hills School Board Race -- Battles over Israel, antisemitism and race have shaken Beverly Hills in recent years and divided the formerly Democratic enclave. Tim Arango in the New York Times$ -- 11/2/26

Why school board members aren’t running for reelection: ‘A lot of disillusionment’ --School board members cited a slew of reasons for not running for reelection, including distress over budget cuts and labor strife, immigration raids affecting schools and youth and an overall hostile political climate. Carolyn Jones Calmatters -- 11/2/26

Need more financial aid for college? This new law will make it easier to ask for it -- A new California law will require colleges and universities to clearly inform students how to request additional financial aid if they believe their awarded amount is not enough. Institutions must also publish how they calculate their costs of attendance, which is used to determine how much financial aid students receive. Mariam Farag and Max Guerra Calmatters -- 11/2/26

1 in 3 California community college students don’t return the following term -- Community college officials say the low retention rate — the share of students who continue their education from one term to the next — reflects the makeup of their student population: Most students attend part time, making them less likely to persist, while others enroll to gain new skills rather than to earn an associate’s degree. William Melhado EdSource -- 11/2/26

Environment

San Onofre’s nuclear waste is stored on the beach: Will another community agree to take it? -- If Rep. Mike Levin’s proposal moves forward, the spent nuclear fuel stashed on the beach at San Onofre will be stored and processed at one of several potential campuses in other states. Deborah Brennan Calmatters -- 11/2/26

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El-Sayed raised $1.2 million in hours since Haley Stevens endorsed his rival -- Senate Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s campaign says it has raised $1.2 million in the four hours and counting after former primary rival Rep. Haley Stevens backed Republican Mike Rogers in the final messy days of the Michigan Senate race. Adam Wren Politico -- 11/2/26

Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find -- Democrats are up in Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Maine and Ohio, have an edge in Alaska and are effectively tied with Republicans in Iowa, new New York Times/Siena polls found. Shane Goldmacher and Ruth Igielnik in the New York Times$ -- 11/2/26

The Final Polls Show a Blue Surge. Can We Trust Them? -- On the other hand, there’s precedent in the Trump era for polls to overestimate Democrats, and it’s reasonable to wonder whether the polls might be overestimating Democratic strength yet again. This is a real possibility. President Trump’s supporters are relatively unlikely to respond to polls, which introduces the ever-present risk of a polling misfire. Nate Cohn in the New York Times$ -- 11/2/26

Judge tosses DOJ’s attempt to delay Alaska’s Senate results if Republican loses -- A federal judge on Sunday rejected the Justice Department’s bid to hold up the certification of the results in Alaska’s Senate election in the event of a Republican loss, cutting short an extraordinary legal intervention in the race by the Trump administration. Jeremy Roebuck and Patrick Marley in the Washington Post$ Nicholas Riccardi, Becky Bohrer Associated Press -- 11/2/26

Trump is giving his closing midterm pitch at problem-plagued Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool -- President Donald Trump is making his closing pitch of the midterm elections at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool, pushing his slow, expensive and problem-plagued efforts to repair it back into the spotlight on the eve of Election Day. Will Weissert Associated Press -- 11/2/26